Crashes of many crypto projects are plaguing the market, but the greatest danger is the possible insolvency of a crypto veteran: hedge fund 3 Arrows Capital. A bankruptcy on this scale would go down in history with Mt. Gox, the Lehmann Brothers, or GameStop.
Leverage is the borrowing of capital to increase the returns on your investments. This is possible, among other things, on central and decentralized crypto exchanges , but also through credit protocols such as Aave or YFI. Too much borrowed capital or “loose money” in the market is unhealthy, but bear markets often reveal these weaknesses. Such a mistake now appears to have been made by one of the largest crypto hedge funds and borrowers: 3 Arrows Capital, or 3AC for short.
Rumors about the bankruptcy of 3 Arrows Capital have been spreading on all social media for a few days. As Luna investors, they were already badly hit by its crash. A bankruptcy of 3AC would be another black swan event for the crypto market and would mean billions of dollars in selling pressure and liquidations.
Because 3 Arrows Capital is one of the largest companies in the crypto world. The hedge fund has existed since 2012 and is therefore considered a crypto veteran. Co-founder of the company, Zhu Su (Ex Deutsche Bank), is one of the most well-known crypto personalities with over 500,000 Twitter followers. His partner Kyle Davies (ex Credit Suisse) is also an influential figure. Three Arrows Capital removed all altcoin tickers from their Twitter bio, deleted Instagram accounts and have been conspicuously quiet for the past few days.
A hedge fund blow-up would be catastrophic for the crypto market as the reach of Three Arrows Capital is immense. They act as market makers, traders, invest in many altcoins and NFTs and are involved with other funds (e.g. DeFiance or Starry Night Capital). They have many partnerships and even manage the treasuries of some of their portfolio companies . That's just the tip of the iceberg.
Is 3 Arrows Capital in trouble?
And the depths of this iceberg are slowly emerging. On-chain stats showed that Three Arrows Capital was struggling to repay their collateral. The rumors spread like wildfire and more and more credible voices came to light.
Blockfi, a lending platform, reported that it liquidated 3AC on June 16, 2022. It was further reported that the hedge fund lost a whopping $31.37 million on trading platform Bitfinex in May. The voices of frustrated business partners also sounded on Twitter. Finally, it was revealed that 3AC's (Starry Night Capital) NFT fund transferred over $21 million worth of their assets.
It is speculated that these may have to be sold in order to be liquid. The company is now evaluating various alternatives. These include the sale of assets and a bailout by another company. If all of that fails, we could witness another crash for the history books. In this case, the event around Three Arrows Capital would take on proportions that have only been seen in a few crashes so far. A longer bear market would then be unavoidable.
The bankruptcy of Mt. Gox in 2012
Mt. Gox was one of the largest Bitcoin trading exchanges. It was founded in 2009 as a trading card exchange and converted to a bitcoin exchange in 2010. In an incident in 2013, the exchange lost 850,000 bitcoins in an alleged hacker attack. This bankruptcy triggered a brutal bear market (2013-2015).
This is where the short sellers got hit. As of January 2021, about 140% of GameStop's stock market value was short. The other side of the trade came from the Reddit forum r/wallstreetbets . Hedge funds and sellers had to close their positions, causing the price to surge. Big companies came to the brink of bankruptcy and at least one large and established hedge fund, Melvin Capital, was bailed out.
The insolvency of the Lehman Brothers Bank represented the peak of the real estate bubble. The damage from the insolvency was estimated at 50 to 75 billion USD. Lehman Brothers was the first investment bank not bailed out by the US government at the time. Irresponsible lending was primarily responsible for the real estate bubble. The bear market that followed lasted for a full 3 years.
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